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the are only favored in 53 percent of simulations. Green Bay Packers: 12.4 wins (projected NFC North champions) Current record: 7-1. Projected playoff percentage: 74.0. It's entirely po sible that the outcome of in Santa Clara could have a number of playoff implications in the NFC, including whether or not the Niners or will earn a postseason bye week. is the only other game where the win in fewer than 58 percent of current forward-looking projections. Seattle Seahawks: 11.3 wins (projected wild card) Current record: 6-2. Projected playoff percentage: 55.1. The NFC West is still up for grabs and is most likely going to be determined by the two remaining 'Hawks-Niners matchups ( and ). One stat I calculate is win-share, with a value a signed to each player, position group and side of the ball, reflecting their production on each play. (Does the player, group or unit being evaluated help the team earn a first down or score a touchdown on offense or prevent opponents from earning first downs or scoring touchdowns on defense?) and the offense are significantly outpacing their defense in win-shares, which will be a big factor in determining their playoff potential. Philadelphia Eagles: 9.7 wins (projected NFC East champions) Current record: 4-4. Projected playoff percentage: 50.5. The have three home games that are the key to unlocking their postseason: New England ( ), Seattle ( ) and Dallas ( ). It's most likely that the NFC wild-card teams will come from the West or the North (or just two from the West), which is why the ' playoff projections seem so low -- it's between them and the rival Markus Golden Jersey for one postseason berth. Los Angeles Rams: 9.6 wins (projected wild card) Current record: 5-3. Projected playoff percentage: 52.4. After and , the ' secondary is completely different from Week 1. Their next two opponents after this week's bye are Pittsburgh and Chicago, neither of which presents premium quarterbacking play at the moment. So it's po sible we won't see the real impact and potential of this refurbished defense until . However, my model increased the ' win potential at least 3 percent per game as soon as Ramsey was added. Minnesota Vikings: 9.5 wins Current record: 6-2. Projected playoff percentage: 49.8. Minnesota's next three away games -- at Kansas City ( ), at Dallas ( ) and at Seattle ( ) -- are most likely to determine the ' playoff fate, per my model. It's worth noting that all three of the ' remaining division games are at home. Dallas Cowboys: 9.0 wins Current record: 4-3. Projected playoff percentage: 49.5. Why are the ' playoff projections lower than the ', despite ? It's because of their Ross Travis Jersey remaining win projections primarily for games in New England ( ), hosting the ( ) and in Philadelphia ( ). If the ' O-line is healthy, their win projections typically increase from 2 to 5 percent. Since the East is likely to only produce one playoff team, a small positive or negative move by the or has a big impact. Carolina Panthers: 8.4 wins Current record: 4-3. Projected playoff percentage: 46.5. 's two interceptions and six pa ses defensed are just part of the reason why he has the second-highest win-share among middle linebackers in my model so far this season. Detroit Lions: 7.9 wins Current record: 3-3-1. Projected playoff percentage: 26.8. Operating in Darrell Bevell's offense for the first time, is on pace to produce his highest win-share since 2014, when the won 11 games and earned a playoff berth. Chicago Bears: 7.1 wins Current record: 3-4. Projected playoff percentage: 37.6. In an attempt to measure chips and double-teams, I have used computer vision to track how often players are contacted for at least one second (chip) and longer by multiple opponents (double-team). has been chipped and double-teamed at the third-highest rate this season (38.9 percent), yet he ranks fourth among edge rushers in win-share. Arizona Cardinals: 5.3 wins Current record: 3-5-1. Projected playoff percentage: 1.4. Circle and as two to watch closely. The Bucs game projects to be high-scoring, include some drama (turnovers) -- and I expect 's highest fantasy output of the season. The game features two extremely interesting quarterbacks with very different surrounding casts. Quick beware here: Kyler has two games against the Niners sandwiched around that trip to Tampa, so don't plug-and-play him any week but that one. With Thursday night's , the ' projected win total fell by Marco Wilson Jersey 0.3 and their projected playoff percentage decreased by 0.5 percent. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 5.1 wins Current record: 2-5. Projected playoff percentage: 3.9. 's breakout season means that your fantasy prep next year will likely rank him ahead of another top-rated wideout: , Godwin's teammate. New York Giants: 4.8 wins Current record: 2-6. Projected playoff percentage: 5.0. The ' year-over-year O-line rating has improved the most from last season. In all of the ways I rank O-lines (including rushing, pa sing, obvious pa sing and red area), the 2018 ' unit ranked in the mid-to-high 20s, resulting in an overall OL rating of No. 26 on the season. So far this year, the G-Men are tracking at No. 18. Atlanta Falcons: 4.1 wins Current record: 1-7. Projected playoff percentage: 3.7. The have all of their division games remaining, meaning they have the chance to play spoiler. Their only non-division games left: and . Washington Redskins: 3.1 wins Current record: 1-7. Projected playoff percentage: 0.0. After Week 9 of this season (when ) and certainly at the beginning of next season, receiver projects to be a key piece on this offense (and your fantasy team). His production trajectory and historical comps could be worth an early-round pick in your 2020 fantasy draft. This article has been reproduced in a new format and may be mi sing content or contain faulty links. Please use the Contact Us link in our site footer to report an i sue.
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